Record 38% of new vehicle sales to be EVs in 2030

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November 10th, 2026

A new analysis of U.S. electric vehicle sales projects that a record share of new vehicles sold in 2030 will be electric, despite recent steps by the federal government to remove incentives to their growth.

The report, by researchers at the Salata Institute for Climate and Sustainability, indicates that EVs will make up an estimated 38 percent of new car sales by 2030 — assuming current policy remains in place — quadruple the 8 percent share of new sales in 2025.

Record 38% of new vehicle sales to be EVs in 2030